Showing posts with label Foresight. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Foresight. Show all posts

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Transcript of PM Lee Hsien Loong's interview with Ian Bremmer, Time Magazine

A summit with leaders of the (then) negotiating states of the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP). Pictured, from left, are Naoto Kan (Japan), Nguyễn Minh Triết (Vietnam), Julia Gillard (Australia), Sebastián Piñera (Chile), Lee Hsien Loong (Singapore), Barack Obama (United States), John Key (New Zealand), Hassanal Bolkiah (Brunei), Alan García (Peru), and Muhyiddin Yassin (Malaysia). Six of these leaders represent countries that are currently negotiating to join the group. Pic: Wikimedia Commons


Interview Transcript Extract:
Q: What are the consequences of no TPP?

PM: Your standing goes down with many countries around the world. Your opponents as well as your friends will say, "You talked about the strategic re-balance, you talked about developing your relationships. You can move aircraft carriers around. But what are the aircraft carriers in support of"? It has to be deeper economic and broad relationships. You do not do things which the Chinese do. The Chinese go around with lollipops in their pockets. They have aid, they have friendship deals, they build you a Prime Minister’s office or President’s office, or Parliament House or foreign ministry. For them, trade is an extension of their foreign policy.

You do not do these retail items. The one big thing which you have done is to settle the TPP, which Obama has done. It shows that you are serious, that you are prepared to deepen the relationship and that you are putting a stake here which you will have an interest in upholding. Now, let’s say you cannot deliver on the TPP. After you have gotten Vietnam to join, after you have gotten Japan to join, after Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has made very difficult arrangements on agriculture, cars, sugar and dairy. Now you say, "I walk away, that I do not believe in this deal." How can anybody believe in you anymore?

It is not just on trade, even on strategic issues. The key thing in Northeast Asia is North Korea. They are unpredictable, they are developing their nuclear capabilities and their missiles. You do not want the South Koreans to do that, you do not want the Japanese to do that. What is the restraint on them? It is your credibility as an ally and as a deterrent. I do not think failing to ratify the TPP will strengthen that at all, or help Mr. Abe, who has gone out on a limb to support this and is in the process of ratifying it right now.


Singapore’s Lee Hsien Loong on the U.S. Election, Free Trade and Why Government Isn’t a Startup




"Maybe Americans feel they don’t need the rest of the world anymore"

By virtue of its location—on the mouth of the Strait of Malacca in Southeast Asia, through which one-third of the world’s seaborne traffic passes daily — Singapore has always been a country that punches well above its weight on the geopolitical and economic stage. It’s a country of many cultures and languages, and one that is a staunch ally of the U.S. while maintaining strong trading ties with a rising China.

That makes Lee Hsien Loong, Singpore’s Prime Minister and the son of its founder Lee Kuan Yew, a good person to speak to if you want to understand how Asia works. TIME foreign-affairs columnist Ian Bremmer had a chance recently to sit down with Lee in Singapore. The full transcript of their conversation — which touches on U.S. politics, China’s reforms and how to run a country in the age of automation — is reprinted below:

Q: Let me ask you a couple of questions about the perception of the U.S. election in Singapore, because I am very interested in that. Let us assume Hillary [Clinton] is going to win, I feel very confident about that. Let us assume that Trump does not do significant damage after the elections are over. How much damage do you think has been done concretely through this 18-month electoral process?

PM: In every American election, crazy things are said. Positions are taken which the winners try very hard to forget afterwards. George Bush Sr. said “read my lips” and regretted it. All American candidates who won have before winning been very harsh on China, and after winning, much more restrained in their approach towards China. On trade too, that has been true for some time. But this time it has been so nasty and harsh that I think Hillary, if she wins, will have a lot of things to unspeak which she will find very difficult to do. I think TPP [the Trans-Pacific Partnership] will be a casualty if it is not settled by January.







Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Brookings Institute: Housing, inclusion, and social equity: A global perspective:




Housing, inclusion, and social equity: A global perspective

  • Keynote address by DPM Tharman Shanmugaratnam (from 23:18 min)

Many nations face the challenge of promoting social inclusion and economic opportunity. Patterns of housing development impact the distribution of life chances and prospects for greater social equity. Are there lessons from around the world for public policy that can be learned from each other? Which countries have put in place policies that are improving mobility? What can be done better?

On November 30, the Center on Children and Families at Brookings, Washington University in St. Louis, Duke University, and the National University of Singapore hosted an event featuring a keynote address from the deputy prime minister of Singapore, and contributions from scholars and policymakers from the U.S., Singapore, the United Kingdom, and India.
Download the uncorrected Transcript here (DPM Tharman, from page 11)

See the event website here



Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Singapore's Water concerns


Aerial Photos of Linggiu Reservoir in Johor. 
Top - Reservoir at 25% capacity. Bottom - Reservoir at 100% capacity.
(Top: Photo by LHL; Bottom: Photo from Google Earth)

By PM Lee Hsien Loong via Facebook
Took this aerial photo (top) of Linggiu Reservoir in Johor on the way to China two weeks ago. The reservoir is only 25% full, after several dry years of low rainfall. The bottom photo, taken off Google Earth, shows what the reservoir looks like when full. The difference is stark, and worrying.

Singapore is fortunate to be sheltered from many natural disasters, but our water supply is still at the mercy of the weather. Our Four National Taps (http://bit.ly/2cq1tfW) have mitigated this, but we must still do all we can to conserve water. Use water wisely, avoid waste, and recycle wherever possible. Find out more ways to save precious water here: https://www.pub.gov.sg/savewater – LHL


=================

If you were living in Singapore,  you wouldn't have known that Singapore is potentially facing a problem on the horizon in its water supply.

After all, our taps are all still flowing with clean drinkable water even though the weather hasn't been exactly kind to the region. March 2016 was one of our driest and hottest in recent times.

And the water situation in our region is becoming more serious.

There has been a drought in Malaysia with several of their reservoirs at below 50% capacity. And this has lead to a once unimaginable situation of Malaysia asking Singapore to supply more treated water. Perhaps a more direct impact of the Malaysian drought is the resulting smaller durian harvests and the increases in durian prices.

Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, Cambodia, Vietnam and Myanmar have all been affected as well. As the Wall Street Journal puts it, 'El Nino wreaks havoc across Southeast Asia.'

But obviously, Singapore has been doing much to mitigate the impact of this looming water crisis in the region. In April 2016, the Govt announced that it will be building not just one, but two more desalination plants to further enhance our water resilience. When completed, Singapore would have 5 desalination plants, in addition to the four NEWater Plants (recycled water).

So please, when you turn on that tap today, do try to use less water. Every drop is precious.

=================

What are Singapore's 4 National Taps?

See here for more about our four National Taps.






Read more here:

TODAY - The Big Read: Receding water levels at Linggiu Reservoir expose Singapore’s vulnerability

Channel NewsAsia - Receding water levels at Linggiu Reservoir expose Singapore’s vulnerability

Channel NewsAsia - In pictures: Ground zero of Malaysia's water crisis

TODAY - Climate change forces S’pore to look at 5th desalination plant, in Jurong

TODAY - Water shortage in Malaysia a timely reminder to save resource: Masagos

TODAY - Malaysia warns of continuing drought as Malacca sounds water shortage alarm

Straits Times: Water level in Linggiu Reservoir hits record low, continued dry spell could affect Singapore

Straits Times: JB downpour fails to raise reservoir level

Lee Kuan Yew: The architect of Singapore's water story

Lee Kuan Yew - On Sustainability

Vulnerability to Strength: the Singapore Water Story

Forging a greener tomorrow

Tech Insider: Singapore has come up with an ingenious way to save water

Read previous posts about Singapore and Water



Saturday, August 27, 2016

(One of the) Secret of Singapore's success

Staff of NTUC gathering outside the NTUC building to pay their last respects to the late former president S R Nathan, on Aug 26, 2016. ST PHOTO: LAU FOOK KONG



THIS IS WHY SINGAPORE IS SO SUCCESSFUL
By TAY LEONG TAN, Five Stars and a Moon, 26 Aug 2016


Photographs and videos of Mr. Nathan’s ceremonial gun carriage is available for all to witness.

But what many didn’t see…and also the thing that left the strongest impression on me, was the backup procession which was trailing a good 5 five minutes behind Mr. Nathan’s main train.

A standby gun carriage, ceremonial vehicles and emergency vehicles tailed the official train en-route to the NUS.

That, to me is an example of how deeply thought through the Civil Service operates. That to me, is the hallmark of government thinking: to think ahead, think across and to think again.

There are those who criticise and accuse the government of “not thinking”, but seriously – look at how they work. They have a reason to address every tiny detail of decision making; even into why the acronyms of our expressways are named as such.

At a dialogue I attended last evening, Chan Chun Sing shared that even if PM Lee was to have collapsed at the National Day Rally and never recovered, there was already a procedure in place.

Any one of the Cabinet Ministers could continue the speech (and would have continued the speech), delivering it with as much precision. There is strong emphasis on team effort – not just one man, but a team.

Deputy Prime Ministers would be ready to take on the role of Acting Prime Minister. The next line of leaders are already in place. If you are an ardent observer, even you would be able to figure out who the candidates of the PM’s seat are.

National development was never left to chance.

The new port in Tuas was not built a few years ago, but rather more than a decade ago. The reason to move it was planned as far back as the 1970s – not only does it free up a central area in Singapore, it would move the visually and environmentally polluting ships to a far corner of the island. Oh and if you say Tuas is too far to deliver goods, well – there are technologies and expressways you don’t even know about yet. The undersea connector to join the North into the MCE for example – that info is available, you just need to search for it.

Consider Changi Airport; its architects were not tasked not just to develop a fancy building. Rather they were asked to incorporate aesthetics, usability and experience deserving of a world class airport all the way up to the heart of Singapore. That’s why you have beautiful flowers even as you drive out of the airport vicinity and that’s why the East Coast Parkway was built. This is documented in MM Lee’s memoirs. Observe most other airports around the world – the beauty and convenience ends when you exit the complex doors.

Look at this layout of the MRT circulating the internet:



The source of this map is unknown and begun circulating the internet a good 10 years ago. No one knows if it is accurate or not. The authorities neither confirm nor deny its accuracy, however it seems as if over the years the stations that pop up are really beginning to resemble this map.

Discussions, studies, debates and plans for Singapore for the next 50 years are already available, if you care to seek it out.

That’s pretty amazing if you ask me. I’m not even sure what I’m going to eat for dinner tonight.

One of the remarkable things about Singapore governance is the team effort to drive the mechanism forward.

To say it is merely a PAP team effort would be doing the nation a great disservice. This team is not just the PAP. 
It is the law makers, the Judges, the President, all the civil service, the Unions, the corporations, the people – all working seamlessly as one mechanism.

It is the ability to orchestrate and manoeuvre all these moving parts for the collective welfare of the majority of Singapore.

It is for this reason that although we’re a small country, we’re able to stand up against giants.


First published by Five Stars and a Moon.

===============

DTCL: Our borderline kiasuism obsession with details is not only evident in the organization of the State Funerals for both Mr Nathan and Mr Lee Kuan Yew, but it is also evident in how Singapore's national events like the annual National Day Celebrations are planned and executed.

Not many people would know that for state level events like the NDP, the Organizing Committee actually starts their work more than a year before the actual event. The OrgComm would kena arrowed be appointed, and among the first things the OrgComm would do, is to shadow and learn the current OrgComm.

This "apprenticeship" model of planning carries on in almost all facets of Singapore life - from NS (ie reservist) battalions to almost all govt-linked organizations and Stat Boards. 







Monday, August 22, 2016

Uniquely Singapore (National Day Rally 2016)

Putting aside all the fuss about PM Lee's fainting spell on stage during his National Day Rally speech, here is some food for thought.

Watch this clip from NDR 2016.



Which other country's Head of Government or political party/leader speaks plainly about stepping down and about the importance and need to get his/her successor(s) ready to take over the reins of government?




Singapore is NOT a dictatorship as much as some critics would like you to believe. Singapore has regular, free and open elections to choose her government.

Whoever PM Lee's successor will be, STILL HAS TO convince the electorate AND win at the Polls to be the PM.

Singapore's success is often attributed to its unique geographic location and free port in the early days of its development, and Lee Kuan Yew's tough but wise governance style.

But I think one point that has long been understated is the ultra-long term view and planning (including succession planning) that LKY has consistently espoused. This has been the policy of the PAP since LKY, and even for Goh Chok Tong.

Long term planning and a stable succession plan enables Singapore to put in place policies and plans that are for the greater good of the country.

One very significant example of long-term planning: Water.

If not for the PAP govt's long term planning, does any one seriously think that Singapore would be able to achieve success in reducing its reliance on water imports from Malaysia?

How is it possible that an small island with no natural sources of fresh water, be help our neighbours with portable water during drought season?

Does any one realistically think that cleaning up our once-polluted Singapore River, Kallang Rivers and numerous water reservoirs and new-water plants simply appeared overnight?

Singapore's water success is only possible because of long-term planning.

Read more here:






Thursday, August 4, 2016

Why Singapore at 50 Is Like a Banyan Tree, a Bonsai and Nanotechnology



By George Yeo
Chairman, Kerry Logistics
Foreign Minister of Singapore (2004-2011)

Article Source: https://www.mfa.gov.sg/content/mfa/overseasmission/geneva/press_statements_speeches/2015/201508/press_201508032.html

SINGAPORE — Under the late Lee Kuan Yew, Singapore — which this week is celebrating its 50th anniversary as a nation — was unabashedly a hierarchical society. When asked if Singapore was a nanny state, he replied that, if it were one, he was proud to have fostered it. But he also knew that Singapore society was entering a new phase.

In November 1990, Lee Kuan Yew stepped aside to let Goh Chok Tong take over as prime minister. The state retreated a little; controls were carefully loosened; greater diversity was tolerated if not selectively encouraged. As minister for information and the arts, I was happy to push some boundaries — censorship, use of dialects and Singlish, greater emphasis of pre-PAP history and promotion of our diverse ancestral heritage. These were all sensitive issues and I had to manage senior cabinet colleagues artfully. A speech I made about the need to prune the banyan tree in order that civic participation could flourish resonated with many Singaporeans. Pruning the banyan tree means cutting down hierarchy. Letting more sunlight through enables the social network to be better energized.




Pruning the banyan tree means cutting down hierarchy. Letting more sunlight through enables the social network to be better energized.



Diversity causes tension. In hierarchical societies, diversity is frowned upon because it makes top-down organization more difficult. Standardization improves efficiency but it also leads to oppression.

Many years ago, the late Cardinal Jan Schotte told me this story about Pope John Paul II, whom he served as the secretary of the Synod of Bishops in the Vatican. Drafting a speech for the Holy Father, Cardinal Schotte inserted a sentence for the pope to say that “despite our differences, we are one.” John Paul II gently chided him and replaced “despite” with “because of.” “Because of our differences, we are one.”

The particularity of the individual is sacrosanct. Each of us is unique; each is ultimately responsible for his own life. The correction by the pope was not of style but of deep principle. Diversity is not to be merely tolerated; it is to be celebrated. For those who believe in God, every human being carries a divine imprint which unites us. For Confucianists and atheists, every human being has a moral core which also makes us one. We may disagree over man’s spiritual nature but there is something deep in all of us, probably encoded in our DNA, which bows before the ideal of human fraternity and which is moved by the cries of a child. This, of course, has not stopped slaughter over religious beliefs. Unity in diversity is easy to say. Living it requires a daily examination of conscience.

I recounted Cardinal Schotte’s story to a group of young supporters who were helping me raise funds for a public sculpture by a lake in my old political constituency. They were inspired and designed a badge with the pope’s amended formulation (see illustration below). In their enthused response, I draw hope for Singapore’s future.



Singapore is only what it is because it is diverse. There is one requirement to being Singaporean: a new citizen has to enlarge his heart and broaden his mind to embrace those who are different from him.



Singapore is only what it is because it is diverse. As a member of Parliament, I regularly officiated at ceremonies to welcome new citizens. Invariably, my speech made the same point. Although Singapore does not recognize multiple citizenships, we encourage new citizens to maintain old links and cherish their ethnic and religious heritage. Singapore is enriched by their addition and our international network enhanced. However, there is one requirement to being Singaporean, which is this: a new citizen has to enlarge his heart and broaden his mind to embrace those who are different from him. In other words, being Singaporean means becoming a bigger person even though Singapore is a small country. Needless to say, those of us who are already citizens should also manifest this same largeness of mind and spirit.


Singapore as Bonsai



As a small country, we should always have modest views of ourselves. Foreigners may compliment us for our achievements but sometimes these are just words of courtesy. In the 1990’s a Singapore businessman was told that a Shanghai leader, who was a member of the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party, described Singapore as a bonsai to a visiting U.S. cabinet secretary.

My businessman was most offended by the remark. Did he think that Singaporeans were incapable of doing big things? I understood my friend’s reaction but did not feel quite the same way. After all, it is not easy to grow and maintain a bonsai. Some bonsais last a long time and they can be very valuable. With the spirit of Ah Q, I also told myself that if a Chinese leader considered the Singapore bonsai though small to be of the same stock as the Chinese people, that is a great compliment to us since China is a great country. From then on, when talking about Singapore’s relations with China, I would describe Singapore as a bonsai, which is of occasional interest to China because of genetic similarities.

Singapore also shares genes with Malaysia, Indonesia and India. When President Habibie, in a moment of anger, dismissed Singapore as a little red dot, Singaporeans started wearing that little red dot as a badge of pride. This, strangely, has endeared us to many Indonesians. But it is an Indian friend who sized us up (or down) most accurately.

Singapore as Nanotechnology




During his first term as chief minister of the southern Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, N. Chandrababu Naidu compared the workings of Singapore to nanotechnology. Yes, we are small but we pack a lot into a tiny space and are able to network Singapore to the entire world.

Singapore is not intelligible in itself. Its economy, culture and politics can only be understood in the context of the region it serves. Singapore is only one node in a dense network of many nodes. Whether the Singapore node grows or shrinks depends on the health of the network and our ability to link up with other nodes and add value. Our diversity is therefore a great strength.



Whether the Singapore node grows or shrinks depends on the health of the network and our ability to link up with other nodes and add value.



Joel Kotkin describes Singapore as a home for many tribes. This enables us to arbitrage across cultural domains. Indeed this arbitrage is at the heart of our economy and foreign policy. As minister for information and the arts, trade and industry, and foreign affairs, I devoted considerable time to the development of our cultural connections because they underlay our economic, political and social life. These efforts also brought me closer to the many minority communities living in Singapore.

Diversity is, however, also our vulnerability. Every channel which connects us to the outside world also brings infection. Maintaining Singapore’s integrity and security is therefore a continuing challenge. Two conditions have to be met for a city-state to be independent.

First, its foreign policy has to be nimble to adjust to a shifting external balance of power. Second, the citizenry must be united in its common defense against external subversion and aggression. The external and internal equations have to be solved simultaneously. Only when Singaporeans feel secure about their own place at home can they turn outwards and do big things together. I spent 16 years as a soldier, first in the Army, then the Air Force and, finally, in the Joint Staff. The Singapore Armed Forces is a well-equipped and well-trained militia. Its fighting ability is completely dependent on the unity of diverse Singaporeans and their commitment to a common, righteous cause. By being prepared for war, we are more likely to have peace. It is better not to be put to the test.

Keeping the Peace in Asia

If we can maintain peace in Asia for another 10 to 20 years, the region will be transformed beyond recognition and become a powerhouse of the global economy. While trials of strength are inevitable, Sino-U.S. relations are unlikely to deteriorate too badly. Even when China’s economy overtakes that of the U.S. in size, the U.S. will remain the dominant military and political power in the world for decades to come. American popular culture has already taken over the world.



Unlike the U.S., China is not a missionary power. So long as it is able to maintain its own political and cultural universe within, China has no ambition to compete with the US for global supremacy without.



Unlike the U.S., China is not a missionary power. So long as it is able to maintain its own political and cultural universe within, China has no ambition to compete with the U.S. for global supremacy without. If China is also a missionary power, like the former Soviet Union, another hot or cold war is inevitable. Happily, China is not and a titanic clash between the U.S. and China is not inevitable.

Between China and India, they are more likely to cooperate than to fight. Except for a minor border war in 1962, which has been largely forgotten in China, the long history of contact between them has been peaceful. Each recognizes the other as an ancient people.



Nalanda was a light to the world and, hopefully, it will be again, promoting the philosophy of man living in harmony with man, man living in harmony with nature, and man living as part of nature.



A Light to the World

I have the privilege of joining Amartya Sen, Wang Gungwu and others in reviving an ancient Indian university in the state of Bihar. For centuries, Nalanda was a great university attracting students from different parts of Asia, the most famous being the two great Buddhist monks from Tang China — Xuanzang and Yijing. It was from the records of these two monks that India recovered a large chunk of its own history.

Nalanda was a light to the world and, hopefully, it will be again, promoting the philosophy of man living in harmony with man, man living in harmony with nature and man living as part of nature. This ideal is not only desirable today, it is a necessity. The greatest danger in the age we live is technological development racing too far ahead of man’s moral development. We need men of goodwill coming together from all directions to reflect on the moral challenges of our times and help point the way forward. Nalanda can provide one such meeting place. I hope, Singapore, another.

This article is adapted from the introduction to “George Yeo on Bonsai, Banyan and the Tao.” (World Scientific Press, 2015)



Thursday, December 3, 2015

Singapore's Water Story


The story of Singapore’s genesis as a young nation is often told from the political and economic perspectives. But there is another underlying story that is equally critical to the Singapore story – Water.

In 1965, Singapore did not have any significant fresh water sources nor did she have any natural aquifers and groundwater supplies. All Singapore had were a few fresh water reservoirs that were built by the British. Singapore relied heavily on water piped in from neighboring Johore, Malaysia. Without this lifeline, Singapore would not have enough water for its people.

This sobering fact was clearly demonstrated during World War 2 when the retreating British soldiers blew up the causeway which connected Singapore to Johore, along with critical water pipes, to delay the invading Imperial Japanese Army.

With the water supply cut off, Singapore’s reservoirs then had only enough supplies for about two weeks. The dwindling water supplies would soon become one of the significant contributing factors towards the British surrender to the Japanese.

Lee Kuan Yew recognized how critical water was to Singapore’s survival. At Separation, Lee made sure that the existing water supply agreements were guaranteed by both Governments in the 1965 Separation Agreement and these agreements were also registered with the United Nations.

However, this did not prevent Malaysian politicians from using the water supply as a means influencing and bending Singapore to suit their interests. Lee had been told by the British just days before the Separation that the then Malaysian premier Tunku Abdul Rahman, had remarked ‘if Singapore doesn’t do what I want, I’ll switch off the water supply’. Even later generations of Malaysian leaders would make similar public comments when it suited their agenda.


And it is against this backdrop that Lee Kuan Yew pushed for Singapore to be self-sufficient in its water supply.



Read more here:

Lee Kuan Yew: The architect of Singapore's water story

Vulnerability to Strength: the Singapore Water Story

Forging a greener tomorrow

Lee Kuan Yew - On Sustainability